J2Ski Forum Posts and Replies by admin

The present clear weather is set to continue through the coming weekend, with temperatures likely to peak on Saturday and take the freezing level to around 3,000 metres just about everywhere. Sun cream and t-shirts?

A good number of ski areas should see snow early in the week, however, with cooler weather taking the zero line swiftly back to 2,000 metres on Monday and snow possible down to around 1,500 metres in places.

Beyond the next week, temperatures look set to fall - and there is increasing likelihood of precipitation in the first week of March; possibly significant quantities, so we'll be watching the weather systems and forecasts closely over the next few days.

j2ski Snow Forecasts update every 6 hours

Just a quick reminder that the very latest forecast data is always available to you on j2ski.


Do remember that alpine forecasts more than 48 hours ahead are extremely variable and can change dramatically from one forecast to the next, particularly in the presence of complex weather systems.

That is all (for now),

mossballs wrote:Can I take it that both the GFS and accuweather both are not wrong and that we can expect rain/snow for the duration.

No, unfortunately there is no guarantee that the current forecasts are accurate... beyond 48 hours the only thing that the model-based forecasts (including ours) can give you is the general outlook.

That said, when the models start to strongly agree (from run to run, and model to model) then the confidence goes up.

Looking at the forecasts right now... it looks pretty likely that there will be some snow in the middle of next week. Into the beginning of March, the models are looking good for several bands of snow crossing the Alps - but exactly when and exactly how much (snow) is impossible to predict at this stage.

The thing to watch is the direction that the current weather system takes when it starts to move or (hopefully) is pushed out by a cold front from the East. If it doesn't move much, we could get some serious snow... if it goes East we may not get much of anything... if it goes West... it's gonna rain.

Fingers crossed... 8)

carona wrote:oh yeah, thanks for that admin

Our embarassment was tempered, just a little, by the number of people who believed it... :lol:

Hmmm, ok everyone... DON'T LOOK AT THE FORECAST!

The wiggly lines are getting a right wobble on, (DO NOT) check the Geneva GFS ensemble from the 25th onward...

If you were to look (which you're not) you'd see a succession of some fairly big lumps of precipitation going right out from the 25th through the first week of March. Temperature is falling too... possibly useful amounts of snow down to 1500m next week but maybe a bit soggy below 2000m.

Let's see what this afternoon's update brings... but don't look - or it might get shy and go away...

chaletslovakia wrote:
I found some custard creams in a shop in Slovakia!

:lol: :lol: :lol:

Top moment of the season for the team... a glitch in the GFS data causing us to predict a 3 metre snowfall (in one day) across the Alps early in the season... :oops:

But on the +ve side... having to go flat-out to keep up with my 10-year-old son on a steep red, shortly after pursuading him that he could handle it... 8)

souldrive wrote:I just got back from tamworth snowdome

Spinning in the dome? Cool or what? Is it on youtube yet? 8)

GFS is looking interesting for the end of this month and into March... nothing to bet your ranch on (yet) but the famous wiggly lines are getting busy, with precipitation, from around the 25th with a down-trend to the temperatures starting a few days later...

GFS Ensemble plots for Geneva

The temperatures (in the models) have been all over the place but seem to be coming together a little. We just need this High Pressure system to sling its hook; plenty of life left in the season yet methinks.

The Snow God is bound to get bored of lazing on a beach soon...

Sunny weather will again predominate over the European Alps this week as the resident High Pressure refuses to move on. Although there will be several days of chillier weather over the coming weekend, for most areas, the zero line will generally remain between 1,500 and 2,000 metres.

Clear skies will be the norm and, though no significant snow is likely within the next week, the resultant cold nights will help to cool and preserve what is still a generally good base. Mid to upper slopes will continue to give good skiing on Spring snow.

There is a small chance of limited precipitation in the forecast for late next week, but we expect that to change...

j2ski Snow Forecasts now updated more frequently

Due to popular request... the j2ski Snow Forecasts now update approximately every six hours, to ensure that the very latest forecast data is available to you. Check the next expected update time alongside the snowfall graph on each forecast page, to see when the next update is due.

Please remember that alpine forecasts more than 48 hours ahead are extremely variable and can change dramatically from one forecast to the next, particularly in the presence of complex weather systems.

So get out there and get on it... 8)