Jan I Stenmark wrote:Can anyone else recall a prediction that I heard about this issue. I’m no meteorologist and may not get this quite right but hopefully someone will fill in the gaps.
The prediction went as follows:
1. Temperature rises
2. Arctic polar ice melts
3. Northern North Atlantic becomes less salty
4. The salinity induced circulation of the warm waters from the Gulf to Northern Europe slows or stops.
5. Northern Europe becomes substantially colder than at present. More like BC, Ontario or Quebec.
6. Winter sport enters an era of unprecedented demand due to an 8 month season and perfect snow on a daily basis (Ok, I made that bit up)
So can any one corroborate this memory? If so it could well be that warm for the globe would mean cooler for Northern Europe. Not sure what the impact would be on The States & Canada?
Happy pondering
Jan
There's a bunch of scenarios presented and I recognise some elements of that. Some ocean currents, Gulf stream and the North Atlantic Drift have warming effects on nearby landmasses. Without those currents those landmasses would cool, probably by a couple of degrees. The salt content, IIRC, is effected by evaporation as these flows move, so the present effect is to increase salinity, consequently without the flow salinity would decrease.
But, IIRC, a more immediate issue is actually increasing salinity in tidal estuaries etc.
I'd not assume just because it's colder on average it's going to benefit winter sports, you'd need a low variance as well and precipitation of course.